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If Bernstein’s $10 trillion prediction market turnover forecast is realized or exceeded, it’d likely prove significant in revenue terms because the research firm previously estimated that $1 trillion in yearly activity could generate as much as $10.8 billion in revenue for operators.
As has been widely documented, sports event contracts are currently the lifeblood of the prediction market industry, but Bernstein notes that won’t be the case on a permanent basis. In fact, the research firm estimates that sports derivatives’ share of industry volume will decline to 35% in 2035, indicating that the aforementioned volume increase will be led by other categories.
The research firm estimates that by 2035, financial derivatives, including event contracts linked to commodities, cryptocurrencies and stocks, will account for 49% of turnover on yes/no exchanges, topping sports to become the largest volume driver. The research firm sees event contracts tied to key performance indicators (KPIs) leading the charge.
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Caroline Lamb informed a recent review that the current responsibility of annually processing over 500 ClubGRANTS applications within a short time frame imposed significant constraints.
Lamb described this task as “practically limiting the authority’s ability to most effectively monitor compliance” across the scheme.
She suggested that the State Revenue chief commissioner’s office would be better equipped to manage what she characterised as a tax rebate programme.
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Young—whose previous credits include 2024’s Stealing Jokes starring Michael Rapaport; 2019’s Adam, starring Aaron Paul and Jeff Daniels; and My Man Is a Loser starring John Stamos—told The Hollywood Reporter that Morrow hired him directly to adapt his life.
“I was immediately drawn to the human side of his journey,” Young told the trade outlet, describing the project as a “rags-to-riches drama” tracing Morrow’s evolution from dedicated husband and father to viral gambling personality.
News of The Chop comes directly on the heels of HBO’s announcement that it is developing a drama series set in the actual advantage play space.